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What is NFP and How to Trade It In Forex?

nfp forex meaning

Trading on news releases can be very profitable, but volatile. It is possible to wait for wide rate swings to subside when traders can capitalize on the real market move after the early speculators have taken profits or losses.

How do I trade NFP forex?

  1. Do nothing for the first 15 minutes after the NFP announcement.
  2. Wait for an inside candle.
  3. The high and low of the inside candle become our trade triggers.
  4. Place a stop loss below the most recent low if you bought, or above the most recent high if you sold.
  5. Exit 4 hours after your entry.

If the market has moved sharply after the non-farm payrolls release, then one assumption is that this is the start of a trend for the day ahead. One approach is to wait and see how the markets react when the news comes out. Since market moves can be volatile, there could often be an initial knee-jerk reaction when the data is first released. This can be combated by adopting what’s known as ‘fading’ the initial move. The non-farm payrolls are usually released at 1.30pm , or 8.30am on the first Friday of every month and offer trading insights into month-on-month and year-on-year data. Month-on-month shows last month’s number compared to the prior month, while year-on-year shows last month’s figure compared to the same month a year earlier.

How to trade non-farm payrolls

Countries that trade heavily with the United States tend to be more affected by the NFP than those which do not, as the NFP in Forex can dictate monetary flow going forward. Commodity currencies tend to be relatively sensitive to the NFP data, because of the crude oil and other commodity demands that could come from a strong labor force in the United States. With the United States consuming 24% of the world’s energy, the non-farm payroll announcement can also have major implications when it comes to demand for crude oil or natural gas. It also can have a major influence on currencies that are highly correlated to energy, such as the Norwegian krone or the Canadian dollar. Strive to use strategies that not only work for news but work in normal trading conditions as well. Then you only need one skill set and don’t need to change strategies every time volatility increases. Alternatively, if you want to take full advantage of the price movements following the NFP announcement you can use a 1-minute chart as discussed above.

Week Ahead – All About The Fed And NFP – Investing.com

Week Ahead – All About The Fed And NFP.

Posted: Sun, 30 Oct 2022 07:00:00 GMT [source]

The non-farm payrolls are typically released an hour before the official opening of the US stock market, on the first Friday of each month, although the date will occasionally vary due to a public holiday. Based on the actual release, traders will overreact, jump in and out of a trade which in turn will create this heightened activity. However, after the dust settles and the market participants digest the new NFP figures, traders will reassess their positions and will either take profit or cut losses. This in turn will cause a temporary retracement that creates a short-term trading opportunity for us. The NFP is the most important economic data release in the world because it’s watched not only by pro forex traders but also stock traders, futures traders, and top options traders. The NFP usually has most effect on USD currency pairs such as EUR/USD, but other pairs may be more strongly affected by the data release.

The Initial Moves

This will be lower than the 136k jobs that were created in the previous month. The opposite situation took place after the release of the December 2018 data. The report showed an increase in nfp forex meaning employment by 370 thousand, while the consensus pointed to 184 thousand. The report from the American labor market (Non-Farm Payrolls, NFP) is probably the most popular report among traders.

nfp forex meaning

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